Gold technical analysis for March 31, 2015

Gold price continued its downward move towards short-term support at $1,180-75 as expected. Now, it is testing the short-term support levels and bulls need to step in if they want to push the price back above $1,200. The longer-term trend remains bearish and the weekly chart makes me favor the bearish scenario towards $1,130 and lower.

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Short-term support is seen at $1,172 at the 61.8% retracement. This is also a lower boundary of the green Ichimoku cloud. As long as gold price is above that level, bulls have hope for an upward reversal.

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Last week’s high is important resistance as the price got rejected at the kijun-sen. We have a bearish crossing between the tenkan-sen and kijun-sen. If resistance at $1,220 is broken, we should expect gold price to move towards red cloud resistance at $1,250. Important long-term support is at $1,130. In case it gets broken, a medium-term move towards $1,000 and $900 can be expected.

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