Miami Looks Safe from Hurricane

Miami Looks Safe from Hurricane

Due to some likely weakening over mountainous areas of Haiti and Cuba, Erika was no longer forecast to make landfall in the United States as a hurricane. Instead, it could lose tropical storm strength over the next two days, with winds falling below 40 mph (64 kph) as it moves over eastern Cuba, though heavy rain was still a concern.

“The good news is that the tropical storm appears to be moving on a western track and moving south and west of the projected track from the Hurricane Center,” Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez said at a 3 p.m. press conference at the county’s Emergency Operations Center in Doral. “It’s less probable we will have a wind event here in South Florida. But we won’t know that until it emerges from Hispaniola.”

Miami-Dade won’t activate evacuation zones for a tropical storm, but the county would remove certain critical-care patients from their homes to area hospitals. The broader concern is localized flooding, particularly in coastal areas.

Forecasters have described Erika, the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, as unusually hard to predict due to disruption from wind patterns and interaction with land, which weakens a storm, as well as warm water, which adds energy.

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This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow). The orange circle indicates the current position of the center of the tropical cyclone. The black line, when selected, and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center at the times indicated. The dot indicating the forecast center location will be black if the cyclone is forecast to be tropical and will be white with a black outline if the cyclone is forecast to be extratropical. If only an L is displayed, then the system is forecast to be a remnant low. The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC’s forecast intensity for that time:

D: Tropical Depression – wind speed less than 39 MPH
S: Tropical Storm – wind speed between 39 MPH and 73 MPH
H: Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
M: Major Hurricane – wind speed greater than 110 MPH

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